Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.245634 0.288616 0.339692 0.405662 0.489799 0.595188 7.399235e-01
2024-12-29 0.185464 0.238691 0.310521 0.417931 0.580882 0.830776 1.270251e+00
2025-01-05 0.145292 0.198550 0.276903 0.407116 0.633032 1.043851 1.955925e+00
2025-01-12 0.123217 0.176525 0.260596 0.413317 0.711999 1.351905 3.177152e+00
2025-01-19 0.105865 0.157109 0.242310 0.408348 0.766962 1.655701 4.908776e+00
2025-01-26 0.095075 0.145699 0.234083 0.418266 0.857481 2.128833 8.418013e+00
2025-02-02 0.087379 0.137865 0.230066 0.434835 0.973545 2.813347 1.603078e+01
2025-02-09 0.080507 0.130195 0.224510 0.446060 1.083989 3.649523 3.232113e+01
2025-02-16 0.075052 0.124167 0.220818 0.460392 1.215189 4.833498 7.812002e+01
2025-02-23 0.069911 0.117931 0.215407 0.468763 1.335632 6.280408 2.264499e+02
2025-03-02 0.065160 0.111774 0.208997 0.472579 1.445666 8.044031 9.406860e+02
2025-03-09 0.060676 0.105570 0.201391 0.470864 1.535843 10.069666 8.921389e+03
2025-03-16 0.056061 0.098671 0.191356 0.460075 1.585821 12.100232 2.360856e+07
2025-03-23 0.053447 0.095623 0.189876 0.475516 1.781553 17.460262 NaN
2025-03-30 0.049658 0.089675 0.180505 0.462969 1.824273 21.102598 NaN
2025-04-06 0.047249 0.086433 0.177312 0.470419 1.995187 30.079976 NaN
2025-04-13 0.044487 0.082134 0.170816 0.464548 2.082921 39.186172 NaN
2025-04-20 0.042729 0.079877 0.169251 0.476337 2.312287 62.065931 NaN
2025-04-27 0.041404 0.078450 0.169656 0.496055 2.640256 115.282310 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039937 0.076548 0.168484 0.509438 2.949958 221.664787 NaN
2025-05-11 0.038689 0.075028 0.168152 0.526554 3.341554 531.567088 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037308 0.073063 0.166270 0.536565 3.695480 1451.285529 NaN
2025-05-25 0.035876 0.070846 0.163354 0.541132 4.012001 5082.252522 NaN